BTC vs ETH: The DCA Backtest

The identical plan — $100 on the first trading day of each month — run on both assets over their shared history (Nov 2017 → Aug 2026, $10,600 invested each). Every number below is computed from real daily closes; nothing is annualized away or cherry-picked.

invested in each
$10,600
106×
BTC today
$51,765
+388%
ETH today
$47,485
+348%

Verdict on this window: $10,600 invested into BTC grew to $51,765, versus $47,485 in ETH. Different start dates shuffle this result — the rolling analysis below shows how often.

The same $100/month, side by side

Both positions month by month across the shared window: the dashed line is cash paid in ($10,600 total), the two curves are what BTC and ETH were worth along the way. Where the curves separate is where the decade's story lives.

$50k2017201820192020202120222023202420252026BTC $52kETH $47kBTCETHinvested

Does the winner depend on when you started?

One full-window result can mislead — maybe the winner just had a better final year. So we ran the head-to-head across EVERY possible 5-year start month in the shared history:

41%BTC beat ETH in 41% of all rolling 5-year windows (19 of 46) · median gap: -70.8 percentage points on the same $6,000 invested

Side-by-side numbers

BTCETH
Shared history fromNov 2017Nov 2017
Monthly buys106106
Total invested$10,600$10,600
Final value$51,765$47,485
Total return+388%+348%
Best 5y window+341%+621%
Worst 5y window+43%-29%

Data through Aug 2026, refreshed daily.

Digital gold versus programmable collateral

Bitcoin and Ethereum are often bought as one 'crypto' decision, but the shared window since 2017 shows two different assets: BTC as the scarcity/reserve narrative with the shallower drawdowns of the pair, ETH as a technology bet whose fee-burn, staking and app-platform story reprices harder in both directions. The win-rate table quantifies how often each personality led.

Correlation is the caveat: in every real panic the pair fell together, so holding both diversifies the thesis, not the crash. A monthly plan into either had to survive multiple −75%+ drawdowns in this window — position size, not coin choice, is what made that survivable.

FAQ

Is BTC or ETH better for dollar-cost averaging?

On the shared window measured here, BTC finished ahead (BTC: +388% vs ETH: +348% on identical monthly buys). "Better" is window-dependent — the rolling head-to-head above tells you how stable that verdict was. Past performance doesn't predict the future; this page tells you what happened, not what will.

Can I just DCA into both BTC and ETH?

Yes, and if the pair is highly correlated the blend will behave like either one alone — check how similar the two curves above are before assuming a split adds diversification. Our portfolio calculator lets you backtest any weighting of the two on the same real data.

What data does this comparison use?

Real dividend- and split-adjusted daily closes for BTC and ETH, compared strictly over their shared history (Nov 2017 → Aug 2026), refreshed daily and validated for gaps and staleness. Fees, spreads and taxes are not modelled — see the methodology page.

Partner offers

Run the plan on a real exchange

Five exchanges where DCA — and tokenized stocks & ETFs — actually work, each with a real discount. Pick one, copy the code, trade cheaper.

Kraken20% off fees for life — crypto, stocks & ETFsSign up
OKX20% off trading fees for lifeSign up
Backpack5% off fees — tokenized stocks, Solana-nativeSign up
Bybit€30 BTC welcome bonus (EEA)Sign up
Hyperliquid4% off fees — on-chain perpsSign up
All exchanges & current codes → find.codes

Referral links support the site and never affect the math. Availability varies by country — check your local regulations.

· Related

Keep going

Bitcoin (BTC) DCA calculator
BTC's own page — growth chart and every start window.
Ethereum DCA calculator
ETH's own page — growth chart and every start window.
Portfolio DCA builder
Backtest any BTC/ETH split on the same data.
All asset calculators
17 dedicated DCA backtests, one per asset.